Archive for March 2008

expandBear Market Over For Cramer

“The bear market has ended with a bang,” Jim Cramer told fans of his “Mad Money” TV show Monday. Cramer thinks the fall of Bear Stearns (BSC) has marked a bottom from which investors can get back into stocks. Cramer also cited the Federal Reserves actions to free up Fannie Mae (FNM) and Freddie Mac (FRE) to buy more loans and save them from possibly going under. “Now things look very different,” Cramer said. Both Freddie and Fannie are back on their feet with the backing of the U.S. Treasury. The bulk of the bad home loans, will reset at lower interest rates within the next six months and cause home prices to stabilize. Cramer thinks by next fall housing prices could stop falling and banks will start lending money again with interest rates low enough for financial firms to make money. Cramer said investors can start buying stocks in the retail sector like Costco (COST), Deckers (DECK) and Black and Decker (BDK). In technology he likes EMC (EMC), IBM (IBM), Apple (AAPL) and Research In Motion (RIMM). In the financial sector he likes Goldman Sachs Group (GS) and JPMorgan Chase (JPM). He also favors Procter & Gamble (PG), but he did mention that PG could be hurt if inflation rises. Cramer cautioned investors that market has already made a big move, so buy in small amounts until you see a significant pullback to load up on.

expandCEO Interview Costco Wholesale

Cramer welcomed Jim Sinegal, President and CEO, of Costco Wholesale (COST) to the “Mad Money” TV show Monday. Cramer has been a big advocate for the stock calling it his favorite retail pick recently. Sinegal explained that Costco pays its employees a high wage and in return those employees produce great results. He feels critics who complain about that company’s high labor costs just don’t understand Costco’s philosophy on paying employees a fair wage for quality performance. Sinegal went on to say that he sees plenty of growth for Costco in overseas markets and domestically. “We could double the size of our company over the next 10 years,” Sinegal said. Cramer thinks COST is the best retailer in America and the stock is going higher.

expandSatellite Meger One Step Away Cramer Calls SIRI To $5

Cramer was very happy on Monday’s “Mad Money” show after news broke that the Justice Department had approved the merger between leading satellite firms Sirius Satellite (SIRI) and XM Satellite Radio (XMSR). The merger isn’t a done deal yet with a final approval still needed from the Federal Communications Commission (FCC). Cramer again encouraged viewers to visit the FCC’s website at www.fcc.gov and express their support for the merger to get done. Cramer thinks if the deal gets done SIRI is going to $5.

expandJim Cramer’s Lightning Round

Bullish

Verizon (VZ), AT&T (T), Eastman Kodak (EK), Korea Electric Power (KEP), General Mills (GIS), Kellogg (K), Darling International (DAR), Lindsay Corporation (LNN), Mastercard (MA), NuStar Energy (NS) and Mosaic (MOS).

Bearish
Sprint Nextel (S), Systemax (SYX), Campbell Soup (CPB), Raser Technologies (RZ), Visa (V) and Borders Group (BGP).

expandJim Cramer’s Mad Mail

Cramer told a viewer that Focus Media (FMCN) was hurt after the company reported inline numbers and China is now viewed as being too speculative. With those thoughts in mind, Cramer thinks Focus Media is a buy with the stock down from the earnings report. Cramer wasn’t so kind to another viewers stock pick, Sigma Designs (SIGM). Cramer explained he want to recommended SIGM but he isn’t sticking his neck out after the company reported a disappointing quarter. Finally, Cramer told a viewer to stay with MDU Resources Group (MDU) even though the oil and gas sector could experience pain before you see the gains.

expandFast Money

Word on the Street
WORD ON THE STREET VIDEO
How To Trade This Market
After a few days conservative strategy should not be abandoned according to Macke. Stocks should be sold into rallies and bought on dips. No one ever lost money taking a little profit. They should not be sold anytime the tape is green. A small percentage of gains should be taken off to maintain exposure but discipline is needed and bottom fishing shouldn’t be done. He said hope for the best but prepare for the worst.
$4 Gas Trade
Summer driving is approaching and serious pain at the pump is expected, what is expected? CNBC Contributor Addison Armstrong joined the show and talked about the seasonal bounce. The huge margins from years past should not be expected with crude staying high. The refiners that have cheap crude input cost, those that have bigger capacity for heavier, harder to refine crude oil. Valero (VLO) and Frontier (FTO) were both named here. Seymour echoed the refiner trade with VLO, ConocoPhillips (COP) and Tesoro (TSO) all talked about. Najarian would buy VLO on dips and Finerman thinks if VLO takes some capacity offline other refiners would benefit.
JPMorgan Take With Steve Liesman
The Fed’s $29 billion loan to JPMorgan (JPM) to purchase Bear Stearns (BSC) was talked about with CNBC’s Steve Liesman. The loan is for 10 years at a rate of 2.5% which was called cheap. Neither the Fed nor JPM will lose money on this loan and it gives what Finerman called “forever” to pay it back.
Chartology
Chart expert Carter Worth joined the panel to analyze some charts. He was bullish on the chart for Arch Coal (ACI) and Najarian agreed. Finerman told us her firm sold some financials including Fannie Mae (FNM). Macke said buy what u can use, he named U.S. Steel (X). Seymour named a group of material stocks that including Arcelor Mittal (MT), Market Vectors Coal ETFKOL), BHP Billiton (BHP) and Vale (RIO).
Emerging Market Trade: Taiwan
A presidential election just happened in Taiwan and the stocks are rallying. The opposition party won and that sets up the development of friendly relations with China in Seymour’s eyes. It is also the fifth largest economy in Asia and is cheap when compared to the rest of the continent. Seymour offered up a Taiwan basket for investors that included: iShares Taiwan ETF (EWT), Taiwan Semiconductor (TSM), Chunghwa Telecom (CHT), AU Optronics (AUO), Siliconware Precision Industries (SPIL) and Advanced Semiconductor Engineering (ASX).
POPS&DROPS
POPS – CIT Group (CIT) popped 34%. Finerman said don’t touch CIT. General Motors (GM) popped 4%. Seymour explained the move is from short-covering. Children’s Palace (PLCE) traded up 12%. Finerman explained that PLCE is rallying on news from last week that the company terminated its deal to manage the Disney Stores chain. Palm (PALM) traded up 8% off a UBS upgrade. Najarian advised investors to avoid PALM. Walgreen (WAG) popped 5%. Macke thinks WAG is starting to look better. Circuit City (CC) traded up 3%. Macke said he wouldn’t buy CC.
DROPS – BioVail (BVF) fell 4%. Najarian mentioned that he is seeing a lot of put activity on BVF. and Visa (V) fell 8%. Seymour said it was interesting that China Life (LFC) bought a big position in V.
Fast Money Madness
MADNESS MADNESS VIDEO
Final Trade
Macke likes Valero (VLO). Seymour recommends the U.S. Natural Gas ETF (UNG). Finerman picked Altria (MO). Najarian advised investors to stick with JPMorgan Chase (JPM) and CEO Jamie Dimon.
favors

expandCramer’s Stop Trading Buy RIMM

Jim Cramer came out Monday on CNBC’s “Stop Trading” TV show and advised investors to buy Research In Motion (RIMM). “When financial companies rally, it’s a signal of demand for technology products,” Cramer said. “I think the shorts are on the run in RIMM. We’re in the seventh inning of the firings,” Cramer said, in regards to layoffs at financial firms. Cramer commented on Carl Icahn who appeared on CNBC’s “Street Signs,” “I thought he backed down on WCI (WCI).” Cramer mentioned another Icahn holding Motorola (MOT). Cramer told viewers that Motorola should be worried about Apple Computer’s (AAPL) iPhone and the fact that MOT doesn’t have a smart-phone product. “It’s a dumb-phone company,” Cramer said. Cramer also mentioned that he likes Icahn’s position in biotech firm Biogen (BIIB). He advised investors to ride Ichan’s coattails in BIIB. Cramer said investors should disregard talk of a rally in a bear market. “People were talking about a rally in a bear market in 1991.” That rally, Cramer explained, lasted until 1997.

expandStock Market Technical Analysis Video

expandCramer’s Credit Crunch Signal: General Electric

“There’s one stock that’s the key to understanding this market,” Jim Cramer said on his “Mad Money” TV show Thursday. “And that stock is General Electric (GE).” Cramer thinks that GE is a great stock to determine the strength in the overall economy because the firm is well diversified into many different lines of business. Cramer advised investors to watch GE which does business in the media, healthcare, finance and infrastructure sectors. Cramer said that GE will be the new market leader and investors should watch the stock closely. “It will tell the story” of how this market’s doing, Cramer said.

expandUBS Wall Of Shame

Cramer introduced a new member to his infamous “Wall of Shame.” According to Cramer, Marcal Ospel, president and CEO of UBS (UBS), has run a great franchise into the ground. Cramer said UBS’s $3.7 billion loss on October 30th is evidence enough to remove Ospel, but then the company reported a $10 billion write-down in December and another $4 billion write-down a month later. Cramer recommended investors avoid UBS.