Archive for September 2007

expandS&P Emini and Futures Weekend Webinar

expandFast Money Recap & Review

Word On The Street
The S&P 500 is now up 7.6% on the year, and the Dow is up 11.3%. Najarian says volatility is down and investors are getting comfortable with the market right now. Jeff Macke says if you’re bearish your too short right now because the tape action is bullish. Commodities put in there best monthly performance in 32 years. Adami says it scares him that Newmont Mining Corporation (NEM) is down 8% from its highs while gold is near 27 year highs. Finerman thinks NEM is a separate issue and the poor stock performance is because of company specific problems. Najarian says gold is going higher and keep an eye on coal stocks. His coal plays are BHP Billiton Limited (BHP), Consol Energy Inc. (CNX) and Peabody Energy Corporation (BTU). Warnings from Target Corporation (TGT) and Lowe’s Companies Inc. (LOW) helped to put pressure on consumer stocks this week. Macke says the consumer is a mixed bag right now so own best of breed like Target. Finerman totally agrees with Macke and at the right price buy Target. Najarian says sell Target and buy Kohl’s Corporation (KSS). The Chinese stock market put in its best quarterly performance ever. Najarian says that everyone keeps calling a top in China, but he feels it still has a long way to go. Najarian favors China Mobile Limited (CHL), China Unicom Limited (CHU) and Baidu.com Inc. (BIDU). Adami continues to say take profits in China Mobile. General Motors Corporation (GM) traded higher after striking a deal with the United Auto Workers. Macke says it was a great deal for General Motors and the labor union took it on the chin. He also feels that the deal will benefit Ford Motor Company (F). Finerman likes the auto suppliers and her pick was Lear Corporation (LEA). Leading technology stocks like Research In Motion Limited (RIMM) and Apple Inc. (NASDAQ: AAPL) hit 52- week highs this week. Najarian calls it a wireless run that isn’t over. He also favors memory plays like SanDisk Corporation (SNDK) and Micron Technology Inc. (MU) Macke owns Intel for PC growth and he hasn’t sold any yet. He thinks it goes to $30 if the consumer hangs in. Adami likes Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) and he is calling for it to trade up through $32. Solar stocks exploded higher this week. Najarian likes Cypress Semiconductor Corporation (CY), which owns a chunk of SunPower Corporation (SPWR).
WORD ON THE STREET VIDEO
The Unknown Trade
With the housing market in turmoil and many economists predicting a coming US recession, what is an investor to do? The market currently has 3 major unknowns. The unknowns are the US economy, the housing market and the credit crunch. How do you trade with so many unknowns hovering over the market? Najarian says look at China, India, Brazil and South America for a play on global growth. His picks included Companhia Vale do Rio Doce (RIO), The Manitowoc Company Inc. (MTW) and BHP Billiton. Adami says PC demand isn’t going away and the play is Dell Inc. (DELL). He also recommended a farmer trade with Potash Corporation of Saskatchewan Inc. (POT) and Agrium Inc. (AGU). Macke says stick with stuff that has been working like McDonald’s Corporation (MCD), Hewlett Packard Company (HPQ) and Intel Corporation (INTC). Finerman says look at big multinationals with safe balance sheets. Her plays were Kraft Foods Inc. (KFT), The Estee Lauder Companies Inc. (EL) and Johnson & Johnson (JNJ). She also advised investors to own put options for a hedge during market declines.
UNKNOWN TRADE
Chartology With Louise Yamada
The Fast Money crew, welcomed Louise Yamada, the highest ranked technical analyst on Wall Street from 2001-2004 to the show Friday to discuss her take on the market and a few select stocks. Yamada thinks the S&P 500 could go through the all-time highs, but the volume is less then impressive in her eyes. Adami thinks the market is setting up for a nice rally into next year. Yamada took a look the chart of Cisco Systems Inc. (CSCO). She thinks CSCO is a buy right now and is poised to go much higher. Macke agreed and said that big cap tech is under owned. Lastly, Yamada analyzed the chart of Centex Corporation (CTX). She thinks that CTX can rally back to $40 and that is a level investors should sell at because ultimately it’s going to $10.
CHARTOLOGY VIDEO
POPS&DROPS
Friday’s pops & drops segment focused on the performance for the entire 3rd quarter.
POPS- eBay Inc. (EBAY) popped 22%, Amazom.com (AMZN) popped 35%, and Blue Nile Inc. (NILE) exploded up 56%. Macke says these are the toughest shorts on the planet. Apple Inc. (AAPL) traded up 27%. Najarian loves this stock and he thinks it will continue higher. Fluor popped 37%. Adami says its getting rich on valuation. Whole Foods Market Inc. (WFMI) traded up 27%. Macke says this trade will continue to work but at a slow pace. BHP Billiton Limited (BHP) traded up 33%. Najarian says stay long BHP.
DROPS- Wal-Mart Stores Inc. (WMT) fell 9%. Adami says if they can get margins higher WMT goes to $60. Comcast Corporation (CMCSA) fell 14%. Finerman says it’s a multi-year story and shorting the Roberts family is a bad idea. Merrill Lynch & Co. (MER) fell 17%. Finerman likes Goldman Sachs Group Inc. (GS) better.
POPS&DROPS VIDEO
Final Trade
Adami likes Target. Najarian gave out Cypress Semiconductor Corporation (CY). Finerman likes Yahoo! Inc. (YHOO), Palm Inc. (PALM) and 3COM Corporation (COMS).
FINAL TRADE VIDEO

expandJim Cramer’s Lightning Round

Bullish
Sun Microsystems, Inc. (JAVA), Agrium Inc. (AGU), The Mosaic Company (MOS), Potash Corp./Saskatchewan (POT), The Cheesecake Factory Incorporated (CAKE), CVS Caremark Corporation (CVS), General Motors Corporation (GM), Ford Motor Company (F), China Mobile Ltd. (CHL), Baidu.com, Inc. (BIDU), V.F. Corporation (VFC), Marathon Oil Corporation (MRO), First Solar, Inc. (FSLR), Lockheed Martin Corporation (LMT), First Horizon National Corporation (FHN), Barrick Gold Corporation (ABX), Yamana Gold Inc. (AUY), Pan American Silver Corp. (PAAS), Electronic Arts Inc. (ERTS), Activision, Inc. (ATVI) and Exxon Mobile Corporation (XOM).
Bearish
Western Refining, Inc. (WNR), Energy Conversion Devices, Inc. (ENER), Starbucks Corporation (SBUX), Marvell Technology Group Ltd. (MRVL), Coeur d’Alene Mines Corporation (CDE), DivX, Inc. (DIVX), GameStop Corp. (GME) and Haynes International, Inc. (HAYN).
LIGHTNING VIDEO

expandWall of Shame Revisited

A visit was made to the “Wall of Shame” too check on those CEOs that “If they just vanished, leaving no one at the helm, their stock could go higher.” Alcatel Lucent’s (ALU) CEO Patricia Russo was on the top of the list last we were here. They missed a third time on profits and Russo was told to come up with an emergency plan to save the financial situation here. The deadline for the plan is said to be one month but if she leaves ALU would be “better off” in Jim’s view. Second on the list is Marsh & McLennan’s Companies, Inc. (MMC) Michael Cherkasky. Management at MMC is in “utter disarray.” The promised turnaround is taking much longer than expected as well from Cherkasky. If he leaves or if the company is broken into three divisions the stock could move higher. Split up the company is worth some 14% more according to Cramer.
SHAME VIDEO

expandSpeculation Friday: BioMarin Pharmaceutical Inc.

“A hot, sizzling biotech name” in BioMarin Pharmaceutical Inc. (BMRN) was brought to us today as the “Speculation Friday” pick. This is the replacement for Savient Pharmaceuticals, Inc. (SVNT). BMRN should be bought soon but Jim told us to wait a week for it to come in. They have a big drug that is a big catalyst that could take the stock higher. It treats phenylketonuria, an inherited metabolic disease that there is currently no drug out there to treat it. This drug is expected to cost $25,000 a year but as its the only one on the market that seemed right. Pending drug approvals always make the companies speculative but it should get approval by the end of the year. The approval is a big pay off if it happens if it does not you will get hurt so it is a risky play.
SPECULATION VIDEO

expandJim Cramer’s Game Plan

Year end price target for the Dow from Jim is 14,538 and it is 653 from hitting this number. The number was created from doing a bottoms-up analysis of Dow stocks. Some have exceeded price targets like Exxon Mobile Corporation (XOM), Verizon Communications Inc. (VZ), General Motors Corporation (GM) and The Procter & Gamble Company (PG). Others like McDonald’s Corporation (MCD), Alcoa Inc. (AA), The Coca-Cola Company (KO) and Merck & Co., Inc. (MRK) are at around his individualized targets. Wal-Mart Stores, Inc. (WMT), Home Depot, Inc. (HD), Pfizer Inc. (PFE) and Johnson & Johnson (JNJ) Cramer expects to do nothing. Leading the charge to his price target will be four names: The Boeing Company (BA), E.I. du Pont de Nemours & Company (DD), Caterpillar Inc. (CAT) and Altria Group, Inc. (MO). These are the four horseman to 14,538.
GAME PLAN VIDEO

expandJim Cramer’s Mad Mail

Jim told us he was wrong to profile GigaMedia Limited (GIGM) as an ISP on a recent Lightning Round. Amazon.com, Inc. (AMZN) has been “marked up heavily” revenue id is high, costs are low and a “lot is going to fall on the bottom line” with the stock.
MAIL VIDEO

expandStock Market Technical Analysis

expandJim Cramer’s Stop Trading

The Friday morning upgrade of Dean Foods Company (DF) should have us considering Kraft Foods Inc. (KFT) and ConAgra Foods, Inc. (CAG) according to Cramer. KFT could move to $38 or $39 and CAG could look at $30. Jim likes General Mills, Inc. (GIS) as well.
STOP VIDEO

expandJim Cramer’s Wall Street Confidential

We were told to go long KB Home (KBH) and short the housing sector index (HGX) to start next week. Jim is not shorting individual housing stocks anymore as they are all too heavily shorted. He expects the HGX to bounce at the beginning of next quarter as people like to buy the losers of the quarter. The index includes Standard Pacific Corp. (SPF) and Beazer Homes USA, Inc. (BZH). The balance sheet at KBH is good and they are good until 2014. We were told that a way to play the HGX would be to buy calls or common KBH and short the HGX. Yesterday we had CEO’s from Freddie Mac (FRE) and Fannie Mae (FNM) saying that 2008 is a write off, and this is far more bearish than he has been.
CONFIDENTIAL VIDEO